Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.002936 0.003072 0.003212 0.003364 0.003526 0.003695 0.003882
2025-03-09 0.002689 0.002892 0.003107 0.003352 0.003624 0.003918 0.004260
2025-03-16 0.002521 0.002762 0.003024 0.003330 0.003680 0.004069 0.004539
2025-03-23 0.002375 0.002639 0.002932 0.003282 0.003691 0.004158 0.004736
2025-03-30 0.002257 0.002539 0.002856 0.003242 0.003702 0.004238 0.004917
2025-04-06 0.002180 0.002479 0.002820 0.003243 0.003756 0.004366 0.005156
2025-04-13 0.002056 0.002358 0.002706 0.003142 0.003680 0.004330 0.005187
2025-04-20 0.002000 0.002313 0.002680 0.003146 0.003729 0.004446 0.005410
2025-04-27 0.001971 0.002300 0.002689 0.003190 0.003828 0.004626 0.005722
2025-05-04 0.001907 0.002241 0.002640 0.003160 0.003830 0.004680 0.005867
2025-05-11 0.001854 0.002193 0.002602 0.003141 0.003844 0.004749 0.006034
2025-05-18 0.001801 0.002144 0.002561 0.003115 0.003848 0.004802 0.006179
2025-05-25 0.001777 0.002130 0.002564 0.003148 0.003929 0.004963 0.006483
2025-06-01 0.001735 0.002092 0.002535 0.003137 0.003951 0.005045 0.006679
2025-06-08 0.001691 0.002050 0.002500 0.003116 0.003960 0.005106 0.006845
2025-06-15 0.001640 0.001998 0.002450 0.003073 0.003934 0.005118 0.006938
2025-06-22 0.001595 0.001952 0.002405 0.003036 0.003915 0.005138 0.007043
2025-06-29 0.001567 0.001928 0.002389 0.003037 0.003949 0.005233 0.007265
2025-07-06 0.001504 0.001856 0.002307 0.002945 0.003848 0.005129 0.007175
2025-07-13 0.001481 0.001836 0.002295 0.002948 0.003883 0.005224 0.007399
2025-07-20 0.001473 0.001836 0.002309 0.002989 0.003972 0.005403 0.007763
2025-07-27 0.001440 0.001802 0.002276 0.002961 0.003961 0.005429 0.007881
2025-08-03 0.001412 0.001774 0.002251 0.002944 0.003964 0.005477 0.008037